New Wisconsin projections

February 19, 2008

Obama now ahead of Clinton and McCain still leads Huckabee


Using Samplemiser, I have produced the following projections for Wisconsin:

John McCain 50.3
Mike Huckabee 41.62

Barack Obama 51.47
Hillary Clinton 41.99

As you can see from the above chart, Obama has regained his lead over Clinton while McCain can breathe a little easier. While conventional wisdom will say that the ARG poll which had Clinton ahead of Obama was a rogue poll, I believe that Clinton had genuinely closed the gap, only for her clumsy decision to leave Wisconsin early (which was ironically reversed once the poll came out) to kill her momentum stone dead.


One comment

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