h1

Obama on course for a comfortable victory

October 24, 2008

Obama leads by 7.22

My new projections are (my methodology is here):

Barack Obama 51.11
John McCain 43.89

McCain’s punch on taxes has clearly failed to land. It is probably too late to dump Palin and run an honourable campaign and his former supporters, and surrogates, are starting to jump ship. Unlike many other pundits, I still can imagine a scenario whereby McCain wins, centered around a last minute negative blitz or a scandal, but unless something happens then Obama looks likely to be President.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: