Obama leads in Ohio and Pennsylvania

October 7, 2008

Obama landslide in PA, small lead in OH

Some statewide projections for the swing states of Pennsylvania and Ohio are below (my methodology is here):

Pennsylvania: Obama + 12.46
Ohio: Obama + 3.26

Moving the national focus to the ‘big six’ (Pennslyvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Florida, Missouri and Michigan) finds Pennsylvania and Ohio in Obama’s column. McCain desperately needs to win Pennslyvania to give him some breating room and to hold Ohio at all costs. Instead the Senator from Arizona finds himself being crushed in Pennslyvania and behind in Ohio. The only consolation is that Obama’s lead in Ohio is relatively small for a state that has consistently mimicked the national vote very closely since 1968.


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