Obama leads by 0.23%

July 17, 2008

McCain closes the gap, but Bush’s gesture presents a challenge

My new projections are:

Barack Obama 46.10
John McCain 45.87

As per usual they are based on samples of likely voters filtered through Samplemiser. Because of the Quinnipiac and the Zogby polls the fall in Obama’s rating was reduced, but the latest Rasmussen poll has pushed them downwards. However, McCain really needs to make sure that he gets ahead of the Iran issue and makes sure that he does not agree with Bush’s bizzare gesture towards negotiations with Iran.


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