Obama leads by 9.18% in North Carolina

May 5, 2008

Obama’s lead remains ynder 10%

Adding the latest polls to the collection of North Carolina polls, I’ve come up with the following projections.

Barack Obama 48.48
Hillary Clinton 39.30

Given that the implict spread is 10% for Obama, my view it will all depend of how the 12.2% of voters who either haven’t named a prefernce or are undecided split. Interestingly, both Clinton’s vote shares and Obama’s vote shares have a roughly equal correlation with the undecideds, suggesting that they might split pretty evenly.


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