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TPT users predict a Clinton Victory by 8.86%

April 22, 2008

Good news for Clinton, but is it enough?

The Pennsylvania Prediction contest is now closed. There were 30 entries with only two predicting an Obama victory. The predictions ranged from an Obama victory by 1.2% to a Clinton victory by 14.5%. The average prediction was Clinton by 8.86 and the average of the two median predictions was 9.2%. This suggests that although Clinton is certain to win Pennsylvania, she performs roughly in the middle of the 8-10 spread that most pundits, including myself, think that she needs to cover to be able to continue in the contest. Good luck to all those who took part!

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