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Johnson leads by 11.5%

April 8, 2008

Boris surges ahead.

My projections for the Mayor of London first preferences are:

Boris Johnson 48.16
Ken Livingstone 36.56
Brian Paddick 10

Boris Johnson’s is pretty back where is was before the last projection, strongly suggesting that the ICM poll may have been an outlier. Ken Livingstone’s back is pretty much up against the wall and it is difficult, though not impossible, to see how he can recover from this deficit.

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