h1

British Polling Projections: Conservative Majority 36

April 7, 2008

Bad news for Labour.

Adding the latest ICM poll to my collection and filtering it produces the following projections:

Conservatives 42.64 (343)
Labour 31.91 (245)
Liberal Democrats 17.95 (32)

As a point of reference, popular alternatives produce the following; (Poll of polls) Con 40.2 Lab 32.2 LDm 17.8 (5 Poll Rolling Average) Con 41.2 Lab 31.2 LDm 18.2. The Conservative are now projected to have a small majority. However, the central point remains that the scale of the gap in popular vote terms, and the potential for tactical unwind, suggests that Gordon Brown’s position should not be completely secure.

If you want to take part in a chance to win $100 please click here.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: