Johnson’s lead falls to less than 1.65%

April 3, 2008

Good news for Ken Livingstone


My projections for the Mayor of London first preferences are:

Boris Johnson 42.31
Ken Livingstone 40.76
Brian Paddick 10

Boris Johnson’s lead has declined dramatically. Although people will inevitably attack the poll’s methodology (and it should be pointed out that an alternative reading of the poll gives Johnson gives him at 8% lead) Livingstone is catching up, not really because of ethusiasm for the incumbent, but because of second thoughts about Johnson.


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