Clinton leads by 16.26% in Pennsylvania

March 19, 2008

Clinton’s lead surges in the wake of Jeremiah Wright.


Adding the PPP poll to the collection of Pennsylvania polls, I’ve come up with the following projections.

Hillary Clinton 53.79
Barack Obama 37.53

The gap is till less than it was immediately after Texas and Ohio. However, the PPP poll, which was conducted on the 15th and 16th (the other poll was conducted over a seven day period), showed a 26 point Clinton lead, so we can probably expect the next round of polling to favour Clinton even more. Although Obama’s speech was better than I initially thought, he doesn’t understand that the 9/11 and ‘GDA’ comments that Wright made really undermine his credibility as a potential Commander-in-Chief.



  1. These polls were taken before Obama’s speech yesterday. It’s only natural that Hillary surged in the wake of the Wright scandal, but I think his speech significantly changed the scope of his entire campaign.

  2. P.S. It looks like his speech was received pretty well in PA. The Philadelphia Inquirer used “Brilliant!” (with an exclamation point) to describe it: http://www.philly.com/inquirer/opinion/20080319_Editorial__Sen__Obamas_Speech_on_Race.html

  3. Thanks for your comment on Newsblog, that’s a pretty huge lead in Pennsylvania, any idea why it is so big, feel free to post again with your answer on Newsblog. Best.

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