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Hillary’s price falls a little bit after Wyoming

March 9, 2008

Will it be ‘death by a thousand caucuses’?

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After nearly breaking into the 30s, Hillary Clinton’s price on Intrade has fallen back below 25 (currently 23.5-23.6). I think her price should be far, far higher than this but if Obama beats her by a large margin in Mississippi then the old questions about her viability will begin to be asked again. My belief that she would have a 80% chance if she won both Ohio and Texas might have been misplaced, but I still feel that she has at least a 50% chance, if not more.

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