Hillary’s Texas Price Rises

March 4, 2008

The Intrade markets show that Clinton’s chances are getting close to events – but is there even more value in the contracts?


Hillary Clinton’s Texas price on Intrade has bounced back to the early 40s, from around the 20s only a few days ago. However, I believe that her lead in the Texas projections will be bolstered by the early voting, which has been disproportinately in counties that should favour the Senator from New York. Unless something radical happens, I am giving her about a 55% chance of winning the Texas primary.

Note: The betting markets on Intrade are for the primary only.


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