Hillary has a solid lead in Ohio

March 3, 2008

My latest Samplemiser projections for Ohio are:

Hillary Clinton 50.22
Barack Obama 43.50

John McCain 56.24
Mike Huckabee 28.60

The Ohio contest seems to be going Clinton’s and McCain’s way. This would seem to make Texas, not Ohio, the pivotal state in deciding ‘mini-Tuesday’ (and therefore the nomination). I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again, whenever Hillary Clinton has been able to have a clean fight with Obama without shooting herself in the foot (e.g. New Hampshire, Nevada and California) she has come out on top, with her losses being in state’s where she has to relay on wholesale politics or where she has made a huge gaffe.


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