Democratic contest in Texas coming down to a photo finish

February 29, 2008

… but the Republican contest isn’t close at all.


My latest Samplemiser projections for Texas are:

Hillary Clinton 45.67
Barack Obama 45.48

John McCain 57.54
Mike Huckabee 29.18

Evidently, Hillary seems to have a microscopic edge with regards to Texas, although anyone who thinks that they can call this state is either a liar or a charlatan. As I think Hillary Clinton has a 45% chance of winning here, a 80% of winning Ohio and a 80% chance of grabbing the nomination if she manages to carry both, I believe that she has just under a 30% chance of winning the Democratic nomination. On the Republican side, Huckabee does really have to pray for a miracle.


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