No end in sight for Hillary’s slide

February 11, 2008

The Senator from New York falls further in the estimation of punters


Hillary’s Clinton price has continued to fall on Intrade.com with contracts on her winning the nomination trading below 30 for the first time ever. However, although the polls in Maryland and Virginia are unforgiving, and she has no chance of carrying Washington DC, she might have lowered expectations enough to enable a realtively close race to be portrayed as a ‘score draw’. There are also rumours that, for the first time Republicans are going to turnout to support her to stop Obama winning the nomination. I’m going to predict that she loses the District by 60, Maryland by 12 and Virginia by only 8. These are only gut predictions but I think the twenty point leads that the polls are suggesting are simply too large.


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