Can Hillary’s price fall any lower?

February 9, 2008

The markets deepen their pessimism on Hillary Clinton’s chances


The price on Hillary Clinton winning the Democrat nominations has fallen to a recent low of 41.4. Although Hillary still leads by just under 100 delegates in the count and in national polls, she is facing a round of unfavourable primaries. However, I believe that she has, at the very least, 65% chance of winning, making her contract excellent value.


One comment

  1. Why do you believe Clinton has at least 65% chance of winning? Can you explain the assumptions?

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