McCain leads by 0.55%

January 13, 2008

The contest in Michigan comes down to the wire (again).


With the Detroit News and Mitchell having produced polls that end on the 12th, my projection is: John McCain 25.04 Mitt Romney 24.49% Mike Huckabee 14.44 Rudolph Giuliani 6.32 Ron Paul 5.38 and Fred Thompson 4.12. It is amazing that 20.11% of voters are still undecided. My guess is that McCain’s support amoung Democrats and Independants and the efforts made by Tim Pawlentry and Joe Lieberman will be balanced by Romney’s attempts to manipulate McCain’s blunt talk about job losses and the need for retraining (and the attempts by Daily Kos.com to manipulate the Republican primary) to create a completely open contest. Even if McCain wins here he still has a shot at victory, while both this and South Carolina are must win states for Romney.


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