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McCain leads by 4.86%

January 5, 2008

… but is it enough?

Updating my collection to take account of the last 4 polls and to delete overlapping tracking polls (and to add non-overlapping historic polls) I have come up with the following projections: McCain 32.91 Romney 28.05 Huckabee 11.28 Giuliani 8.77 Paul 8.31 Thompson 2.28. Although some of these polls were conducted over the past few days the Rasmussen poll agrees with the idea of McCain having a 5% lead. A 0.36% bounce from Iowa is pretty underwelming, although I do hope that it will increase in the next few days.

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