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Iowa polls remain in flux

December 29, 2007

Can we really trust the last few polls?

Adding the Research 2000 polls to the mix and then filtering them produces the following projections: Huckabee 31.23 Romney 26.76 Thompson 12.68 McCain 11.17 Giuliani 6.01 Paul 5.05. Certainly, the recent polls have confirmed that the contest between Huckabee and Romney is pretty tight and that McCain has been boosted into at least fouth place. However, unless Thompson’s Christmas adverts have greatly boosted him, the last three post-Christmas polls contradict the ARG polls.

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