The Blogging Caesar

December 18, 2007

The PT recommends one of his competitors.

Given that he’s just recommended my website and that I have found it immensely useful, the first website that I will recommend, is Scott Elliott’s election projection website (also known as The Blogging Caesar). I stumbled upon his site Election night 2004 and I have to say that the projections that he made were better than either the exit polls or the BBC broadcast that had a ton of Midwestern and Southern states ‘too close to call’. His formula (which is essentially an weighted moving average augmented by approval ratings) called 48 out of 50 states correctly at the last election and got all the Senate races correct in 2006. The detailed figures and updated analysis are going to become subscription only when the contest starts in earnest but even the free parts of the website are very good.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: