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The Blogging Caesar

December 18, 2007

The PT recommends one of his competitors.

Given that he’s just recommended my website and that I have found it immensely useful, the first website that I will recommend, is Scott Elliott’s election projection website (also known as The Blogging Caesar). I stumbled upon his site Election night 2004 and I have to say that the projections that he made were better than either the exit polls or the BBC broadcast that had a ton of Midwestern and Southern states ‘too close to call’. His formula (which is essentially an weighted moving average augmented by approval ratings) called 48 out of 50 states correctly at the last election and got all the Senate races correct in 2006. The detailed figures and updated analysis are going to become subscription only when the contest starts in earnest but even the free parts of the website are very good.

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