Who will Replace Ming?

October 15, 2007

Where is the value in the Lib Dem leadership contest?

The suddenness of Sir Menzies’s resignation has taken everyone by surprise. However, not being a Liberal Democrat I can’t categorically make a prediction without doing some more research where the value lies in the betting to succeed to him. My preliminary view is that Chris Huhne, who came close to defeating Ming Campbell early last year 2006 should be the favourite but interestingly Betfair.com is putting him as far out as 3.80 (2.8/1) behind Nick Clegg. A bet on Huhne might be worth a punt but I wouldn’t be surprised that Clegg has done some dealmaking behind the scenes.



  1. Clegg is the most likely winner but the value bet is Steve Webb, currently available at 16/1 with Blue Square. It’s basically a back to lay job, but funny things happen in LibDem elections and he definitely has chances. Should be about 6/1, imo.

    Good luck.

  2. Thanks. I’ll look into that tip.

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